Thursday, September 8, 2011

Atlanta Falcons vs Chciago Bears NFL Picks

NFL Betting: Atlanta Falcons @ Chicago Bears

NFL Betting action on Sunday features the Atlanta Falcons and the Chicago Bears squaring off at Soldier Field.

The head-to-head battle has been pretty even over the past six meetings going back to 1998, with both the Falcons and the Bears winning three times straight up (3-3 SU) and the Bears covering the spread in four of those games (4-2 ATS).

The teams last met on Oct. 18, 2009, when the Falcons beat Chicago 21-14 and cashed as a 4-point home favorite. The score stayed well under the total of 46 points.

NFL Odds opened with Atlanta a 1-point road favorite, but the Falcons have since been bet up to a 2.5-point favorite, and -3 at some sports books. Atlanta opened as a -130 moneyline favorite but is now up to -145 while Chicago opened at +120 and is now at +130. The over/under total has held steady at 41.



Atlanta went 13-3 straight up last season, the second best record in the NFL behind the New England Patriots, and was excellent against the spread, paying off bettors at an 11-5 ATS clip throughout the season. The Falcons, however, lost to the Green Bay Packers by a score of 48-21 in the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs.


Chicago finished 11-5 and 9-6-1 ATS and lost to the Packers in the NFC Championship.

Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games overall and a stellar 6-1 SU in its last seven games on the road. There is a major over trend with eight of Atlanta's last 12 games overall going over and four of its past five on the road.

Chicago is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games overall and 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home. The total has gone over in six of Chicago's last eight overall and in four of its last five games at home.